Friday, February 3, 2023
Friday, November 4, 2022
Monday, August 29, 2022
Everything was bad Thursday night vs Houston (by design possibly), and this did not exclude the special teams. Although Mitch Wishnowsky had a busy and productive night to seal his preseason YODA MVP (2022), offensive field position and special teams penalties negated any momentum.
Chicago the weekend after next, will the special teams be better this year or not?
12:45 Punt, 44 yards, 15 yd line SFP (+5)
7:33 XP Block (Fail, -1 point)
4:20 Punt (53 yards) 24 yd line SFP (-4)
2:43 Punt Return, holding, 12 yd line SFP (-8)
9:29 Punt Return, illegal block, 8 yd line SFP (-12)
3:35 Punt (62 yards), 6 yard return, 28 yd line SFP (-8)
1:05 Punt Return, 0 yards, 37 yd line SFP (+17)
11:27 XP Block (Fail, -1 point)
7:54 Punt (44 yards), touchback 20 yd line SFP (0)
2:02 FG Block (Fail, -3 Points)
12:59 FG Block (Success, miss, +3 points)
12:29 Punt (46 yards), 10 yd return, 36 yd line SFP (-16)
10:21 Punt Return (0 yards, 15 yard penalty accepted), 29 yd line SFP (+9)
4:35 Punt Return (0 yards), 12 yd line SFP (-8)
Snaps - 14
Points Scored: 0
Points Allowed: 5
Points Denied: 3 (FG Miss)
Point differential (Scored + Denied - Allowed = -2)
Punt Yards: 246 (49.2 Average, 62 yard long)
Preseason YODA Totals:
Net points: +12
YODA: +109 (even with terrible Game 3)
Takeaways: Field position has been ok, and this number could actually be lower if not for Wishnowsky's effort in game 3. Has the special teams productivity/process been improved with the new special teams coach or is it something else?
I do not know what to make of this team. The roster is amazing, outside of some major question marks on the offensive line and a second year FCS quarterback at starter, which, no matter how you slice it, is a question mark. Will they make good on the Super Bowl dreams? Will it be another even number season from hell?
I see 4-4 at the bye, then 6-3, 7-2 down the stretch. 10-7, 11-6 could very well win this division, and success in the division, particularly against College Kliff and Kyler, along with Uncle Pete and whatever QB he shows up with. I don't think they fall back enough to be out of the playoffs, but can they go further than last year and/or win the Super Bowl? I want to hope so, but I don't like the vibe. With that said:
Win the division, lose in divisional round (while hoping they prove me wrong). (Official 2022 Prediction, 8/29/2022)
Wednesday, August 24, 2022
Improvement in the field position game, but mainly because of Minnesota’s poor special teams play. Still, +98 yards and 8 net points is still positive for a unit building off the opus of last January’s Lambeau Anomaly. Off to the numbers.
SF Special Teams 2022 Game 2 (PS) vs Minnesota
1q: KO defense, Touchback (0)
1q: Punt return, 43 yard line SFP (+23)
1q: Punt, 56 yards, 13 yard line SFP (+7)
1q: Punt return, 1 yard, 41 yard line SFP (+21)
2q: Punt return, no return, 20 yard line SFP (0)
2q: Field Goal, 49 yards, success (3 points)
2q: Kickoff, Touchback (0)
2q: Punt Return, no return, 11yd line SFP (-9)
2q: Punt, 14 yard return allowed, 40 yd line SFP (-20)
2q: XP block, fail (-1 point)
2q: KO Return, no return, 25 yard line SFP (0)
2q: FG, 46 yards, success (+3 points)
3q: PR, 9 yards, 21 yard line SFP (+1)
4q: KO, 15 yards, 15 yard line SFP (+10)
4q: PR, no return, 28 yard line SFP (+8)
4q: Punt, 1 yard return, 1 yard line SFP (+19)
4q: PR, 13 yard line, Min 37 yard line SFP (+43)
4q: FG, 28 yards, success (+3 points)
4q: KO, Touchback, offsides, 30 yard line SFP (-5)
Total ST Snaps: 23
Total points scored\negated swing: +9
Total Points Allowed: 1
Net Special Team Points: +8
Total Yards Over Default: +98
Net points- +14
Total Yards Over Default- +134
The Saberhagen Philosophy
An old philosophy where even numbered years were cursed.
Former Major Leaguer Bret Saberhagen went 20-6 in 1985, 18-10 in 87, 23-6 in 89, (he finally got out of this rut in 1994, but as a consequence the entire season was cancelled and the Montreal Expos were sacrificed to the Gods). Combined record for 84, 86, 88, 90, 1992: 39-53.
Hence, the Saberhagen philosophy.
Since Kyle joined the 9ers in 2017-
2017: 6-10 (started 0-9)
2019: 13-3, NFC Title
2021: 10-7, NFC Championship appearance
Even numbered years: 10-22
Odd numbered years: 29-20 (not including playoffs, 33-22 including playoffs)
Ending the preseason in Houston ( Google “NFL Injuries at Houston”) and starting in Chicago (Google “Soldier Field sod”) does not leave me with any sort of warm or fuzzy feeling.
Saturday, August 13, 2022
Preseason week one was exactly what you’d expect: some big plays (RayRay McCloud, Trey Lance to Danny Gray 76 yards later) some not so great plays (Tarvarius Moore’s coverage on Romeo Doubs, Trey Lance overshooting Gray on the sidelines, JaMychal Hasty’s unfortunate sideline kickoff return shenanigan). We here at Niners Northeast will leave the big time film study to the real content creators, but here is last night’s special teams stats, using the debut of something that shall eventually be known as “YODA”.
“What the hell is YODA?”
YODA = Yards Over Default Average (Punt Line of Default is 20 yard line, kickoffs 25)
Default Average is what your starting field position is if you do absolutely nothing. Literally if every punt and or kick was a touchback, that’s where you would start each drive. While we do track plays and yardage, the key is the amount of + or - above/below the Default. (Also points, as tracked below)
PSNS = Points Scored/Negated Swing (Includes Blocks/returns/misses for_against. Example: FG block or miss vs you is +3, block return TD +6, for a total of 9. If that happens against your team, -9)
TPA = Total Points Allowed (Self-explanatory)
FP = Field Position (Honestly, who throws a shoe? That really hurt!)
With all that being explained…
Special Teams Snaps Tracking: Game 1
1q KO Defense: Touchback (+0)
1q Punt Return: starting FP 41 yard line (+21)
1q FG Kick: 50 yards success (+3)
1q XP Block Team: fail (-1)
1q KO Return: starting FP 23 yard line (-2)
1q XP Kick: Success (+1)
1q KO Defense: starting FP SF 47 yard line (-28)
2q XP Kick: Success (+1)
2q Punt Def: 35 yard punt, starting FP 20 (0)
2q KO Return: starting FP 6 yard line (Hasty’s sideline adventure) (-19)
3q KO Return: 28 yards, starting FP 37 (+12)
3q Punt Def: 48 yard punt, starting FP 9 (+11)
3q FG defense: kick missed (+3) starting FP 22 (+2)
3q Punt Defense: 30 yard punt , starting FP 17 (+3)
3q Punt return: 7 yard return, starting FP 39 (+19)
3q Punt defense: 54 yard punt, 7 yard return allowed, starting FP 33 (-13)
4q XP Block Team: fail (-1)
4q KO Return: 15 yard return, starting FP 31 (+6)
4q KO Defense: 19 yard return allowed, starting FP 20 (-5)
Total Spec Teams Snaps: 19
Total points scored\negated swing: 8
Total Points Allowed: 2
Net Special Team Points: +6
Total Yards Over Default Average: +7
Final Result: Special Teams had a lightly positive impact on this game
Accounted for 6 points and plus 7 yards. Incremental start for the new-look special teams.
Back w/ more after Game 2 vs the Vikings. (#SKOL, which should stand for Skoal but I am sure they can’t sponsor it)
Wednesday, April 20, 2022
Saturday, January 29, 2022
Maybe you saw me here:
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I thought last week in Lambeau was cold, but my goodness I would a wear a golden banana hammock in last weekend's weather before I would go out -59 below in anything other than scubagear and a snowsuit. Weird-ass connections with this 2021-22 Final Four vs 81-82 Final Four: San Diego had a safety in Glen Edwards starting that they lured out of retirement (Hello Eric Weddle in LA) 3 of the 4 QB's in 81 had been coached by Bill Walsh (Fouts in '76, Anderson from 71-75, Montana 80-that particular present). In 2021-22, all teams have branches of the Walsh-Holmgren-Shanahan vineyard. The Bengals head coach is the former Rams QB coach, the Rams head coach is the 49ers head coach's former quality control expert, and the KC head coach is who got started under Walsh's former OC Mike Holmgren (who prevented Reid from becoming SF OC in 1997, fun fact). Basically, the Walsh variants are everywhere. What would it be like if Joe Montana played for the Bengals and Ken Anderson players for the Niners? Well, I guess we are looking at it. I am not sure if Spider-Man is causing this multiverse season for the Niners, but think about it: Their archrivals throughout the years all show up this year: Cincy (which needed an extra game added and a weird way of deciding the game to even be on the schedule); Dallas, Green Bay, the Rams. The Rams have been their rival since 1950, and of course since the Week 18 Invasion/Takeover/Sea of Red Water Park, this thing has plenty of juice. Oh, and the whole Kyle and Jimmy never losing to McVay thing. Now it's either a Cincy rematch by swapping QB's from 40 years ago, or a chance to vanquish the KC demons. Oh, and slide in a Joe vs Steve dynamic with Jimmy v. Trey (in fan's minds, anyways) to sprinkle that tiny bit of '88 in for good measure. I wonder how much Bill Walsh would have been ripped on Twitter? 9ers over Bengals in the Super Bowl is +1400 on DK, in case you were wondering. Predictions for the weekend: Bengals 34 , KC 20 KC should win this game. Steve Spags' defenses have put quarterbacks into the turf who are better than Joe Burrow on many an occasion. Yet...this dude got sacked 900 times last week. Still won. Cincy defense playing well, fairly healthy, has already played KC this year, which helps them understand the speed/Mahomesness a little better than another team. Watch the Cincy running game or 2nd/3rd receiver be the stars of the game. There's all this talk about the world being put back on its axis if the 49ers beat the Chiefs, but do we get a redo of the last 40 years if the Bengals beat the Niners (which is +2000 on DK right now)? 49ers 23 Rams 13 3 Robbie Gould field goals, an Elijah Mitchell touchdown run, and a Kyle Jusczyk touchdown catch for the 9ers. Cooper Kupp with a late TD catch, and whoever kicks for the Rams with 2 field goals. It shouldn't be like this. The Rams should be a better team by a mile. But this 49ers team is running on spite right now. Full spite. Like Stone Cold at the 98 Rumble. A team that has a 40 year stretch of misery with special teams wins a playoff game specifically because of special teams? Sure. Now if you will excuse me, I have to manifest enough good energy to get to Los Angeles in 2 weeks and be able to see the game without binoculars or while watching on a black and white TV in an RV in the parking lot. PS: If the 49ers lose I promise you it will be because of a garbage-ass call. Circa 1983.
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